| Titre | Mise en œuvre des budgets économiques au Niger | |
|---|---|---|
| Auteur | Marc Rocca, Guy de Monchy, Jean Mathis | |
 |
Revue | Economie et prévision |
| Numéro | no 75, 1986/4 | |
| Page | 51-72 | |
| Résumé anglais |
Developing economic budgets in Niger,
by Jean Mathis, Guy de Monchy et Marc Rocca.
Under a United Nations Development Programm (Undp) project to develop short-term economic analysis and forecasting in the Niger Republic, several teams of experts have visited this country since the end of 1983.
The aim of this article is to show through a tentative experiment earned out in Niger the stages which can be reached in developing this type of forecasting depending on the economic information available and the existing administrative structures. The stages described here do not take into account the most recent missions and therefore do not reflect the latest situation with regard to the Undp's work to develop its short- term forecasting policy in the Niger Republic.
After an introductory section explaining the approach used, three other sections show the transition process from analysis of how the economy functions to various stages of formalization thereof.
First of all, therefore, the physical characteristics of the economy of Niger and its major macroeconomic circuits are described. The authors then explain the model-building stage and what can be learned in this way when statistical information is lacking. The last section presents a short-term forecasting model derived from an analogous pedagogical model developed for a macroeconomic forecast seminar organized by the Un at Niamey in July 1984.
The conclusion touches on possible ways of improving on the work presented and certain conditions to be fulfilled if it is to be integrated into the economic policy development process. Source : Éditeur (via Persée) |
|
| Article en ligne | http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/ecop_0249-4744_1986_num_75_4_4957 |
