| Titre | Sources et impacts à long terme des chocs dans l'industrie manufacturière : une analyse au niveau désagrégé | |
|---|---|---|
| Auteur | Jean-Pierre Rouy | |
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Revue | Economie et prévision |
| Numéro | no 131, 1997/5 | |
| Rubrique / Thématique | Contributions à la nouvelle économie géographique |
|
| Page | 131-144 | |
| Résumé anglais |
Sources and Long-Term Impact of Shocks in the Manufacturing Industry:
A Disaggregation Analysis
by Jean-Pierre Rouy
This article proposes a measurement of the persistence of shocks on output in the eighteen branches of France's manufacturing industry. The analysis uses the multiple-sector vector autoregression system proposed by Pesaran, Pierse and Lee (1993). The effects of shocks do not seem to fade over time in all branches and the series display a pattern that is similar to a random walk. Macroeconomic shocks involving interest rates, export demand, energy prices and money supply only play a small part in the actual persistence of shocks. Source : Éditeur (via Persée) |
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| Article en ligne | http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/ecop_0249-4744_1997_num_131_5_5889 |
