| Titre | Lectures sur les avenirs flous de la longue crise | |
|---|---|---|
| Auteur | Jean Bouvier | |
 |
Revue |
20 & 21. Revue d'histoire Titre à cette date : Vingtième siècle, revue d'histoire |
| Numéro | no 1, janvier 1984 | |
| Rubrique / Thématique | Histoires de l'avenir, 1984 au rendez-vous d'Orwell |
|
| Page | 87-96 | |
| Résumé anglais |
Reading on the hazy futures of the long crisis, Jean Bouvier
Since 1973, the world economy has settled into the long crisis which tolls the end of our intellectual haughtiness. The crisis had not been foreseen in the scenarios of the future worked out at the time growth. Nevertheless, however flawed, economic forecasting, probability, and futurology are indispensable. Futurology, above all, which attempts to organize the unpredictable by transforming an imprecise future into a multitude of possible futures. To challenge this — an easy task when one rereads, as the author does, the most recent works — does not preclude making hypotheses for the end of the 1980s. In France, they can be summed up in three fateful terms : low growth, unemployment, inflation. Source : Éditeur (via Persée) |
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| Article en ligne | http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/xxs_0294-1759_1984_num_1_1_1768 |
