| Titre | Prestations vieillesse du régime général : évolution rétrospective et prévisions à l'horizon 1986 | |
|---|---|---|
| Auteur | Jean-Pierre Cendron | |
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Revue | Economie et prévision |
| Numéro | no 68, 1985/2 | |
| Page | 3-25 | |
| Résumé anglais |
General pension scheme:
retrospective evolution and outlook for 1986,
by Jean-Pierre Cendron.
After a brief retrospective analysis of the general state pension scheme the article goes on to describe the method used for forecasting. The number of pensioners is calculated in most cases on the basis of the age pyramid with its constantly renewed base. Average allowance figures are updated annually taking into account the base salary levels of newly retired pensioners. These two new figures combine to give the growth rate of the different allowances provided to the elderly.
The survey shows how, after a rapid growth phase between 1 970 and 1978, followed by a slowdown from 1979 to 1983, expenditure on the elderly has re-entered a rapid growth phase under the double influence of the earlier retirement age and the arrival of a new population "bulge" group. Source : Éditeur (via Persée) |
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| Article en ligne | http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/ecop_0249-4744_1985_num_68_2_3384 |
