| Titre | Atlas : un modèle dynamique et cohérent du commerce international des produits manufacturés | |
|---|---|---|
| Auteur | Jean-François Loué | |
 |
Revue | Economie et prévision |
| Numéro | no 94-95, 1990/3-4 Aspects de la contrainte extérieure | |
| Page | 45-62 | |
| Résumé anglais |
Atlas : a dynamic and coherent model of international trade of manufactured
products,
by Jean-François Loué.
Atlas is a dynamic model of international trade of manufactured products estimated, for ten countries, on quarterly datas. The volumes of the imports are calculated by the country models. The model describes the evolution of the trade prices and of market shares, regarding exchange-rates, costs and prices in each country. The integration of dynamics rises the problem of the short-term neutrality of the billing currency used : the observed prices depend, in the short-term, on the evolution of the currency in which contracts are drawn up. Concerning the market-shares, we propose a model based on relative costs, and we prove that the dynamics of their evolution theoretically depends on the currency which is used to compare prices (or costs). Source : Éditeur (via Persée) |
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| Article en ligne | http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/ecop_0249-4744_1990_num_94_3_5177 |
