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Titre La détermination des taux de change parallèles en Afrique : modèle macro-économique et test économétrique (Nigeria, Zaïre, Ghana)
Auteur Cécile Daubrée, Jean-Paul Azam
Mir@bel Revue Economie et prévision
Numéro no 97, 1991/1 L'économie du développement
Rubrique / Thématique
L'analyse des marchés en déséquilibre
Page 105-115
Résumé anglais Determining Parallel Exchange Rates in Africa: a Macro-Economic Model and an Econometric Test (Nigeria, Zaïre, Ghana), by Jean-Paul Azam, Cécile Daubrée. A small macro-economic model for determining parallel exchange rates with a view of applying them to African economies is examined in this paper. In doing so, the positive effect of the quantity of currency and the producer price of the exportable goods on the development of the parallel exchange rate is pointed out as is the negative effect of the world price of the exported goods and import quotas, and an effect which is neither fully positive or fully negative, ie the world price of imported goods. The econometric applications calculated for Nigeria, Zaire and Ghana show that the model's hypotheses were not rejected, all the explanatory variables appearing highly significant except for one of them in one of the cases.
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