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Titre Consommation-revenu permanent : un regard d'économètre
Auteur Françoise Maurel, Laurence Bloch
Mir@bel Revue Economie et prévision
Numéro no 99, 1991/3
Rubrique / Thématique
Analyses conjoncturelles
Page 113-144
Résumé anglais Consumption - Permanent Income: An Econometrician's Standpoint, by Laurence Bloch, Françoise Maurel. The purpose of this paper is to show how the development of new econometric techniques has resulted in new approaches and solutions in consumer theory. The theoretical context of the permanent income model under rational expectations (Hall, 1978) is first determined. The major statistical properties of the French series are given which are helpful in constructing a consumption model. Anumber of empirical tests are run on the permanent income model under rational expectations (Hall, 1978, Flavin, 1981). Using French data, we come to the same paradoxical conclusion as Deaton did, according to whom consumption is too "smooth" to be compatible with the permanent income theory. A number of extensions of the model are then developed and empirical tests on the permanent income model under rational expectations hypothesis are run.
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