| Titre | Un repérage des cycles du PIB en France depuis l'après-guerre | |
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| Auteur | Patrick Allard | |
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Revue | Economie et prévision |
| Numéro | no 112, 1994/1 | |
| Page | 19-34 | |
| Résumé anglais |
Pinpointing GDP Cycles in France Since the End of the Second World War,
by Dominique Allard.
The extent and duration of the current depression have revived questions concerning cyclical changes in the French economy. Contrary to other countries, especially the United States, there is no analytical history available on economic fluctuations in France. There is as yet no reference chronology of business cycles, and certainly no "official" chronology, such as that produced by the NBER. Only the OECD, in its comparative analysis work, has drawn up descriptions of French business cycles and published summary economic indicators. This article puts forward a chronology of economic developments in France since the Second World War, based mainly on an analysis of market GDP characteristics. It endeavours to highlight any economic regularities by using essentially statistical methods. A great deal of attention has been paid to definition and methodological problems, and an agnostic stand has been adopted to the theoretical approach to cycles. However, a brief assessment is made of the pertinence of various theoretical approaches with regard to the empirical characteristics of economic fluctuations in France. Source : Éditeur (via Persée) |
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| Article en ligne | http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/ecop_0249-4744_1994_num_112_1_5649 |
