Contenu de l'article

Titre Le taux de change réel d'équilibre : une introduction
Auteur Nicolas Sobczak, Céline Prigent, Hervé Joly
Mir@bel Revue Economie et prévision
Numéro no 123-124, 1996/2-3 Économie des taux de change
Rubrique / Thématique
Fondamentaux
Page 1-21
Résumé anglais The Real Equilibrium Exchange Rate: An Introduction by Hervé Joly, Céline Prigent and Nicolas Sobczak This article presents the two main real equilibrium exchange rate theories. The first approach is based on a two-sector general equilibrium model. It defines the real exchange rate as the relative price of tradeable goods compared with goods. It is the most complete as a theory, but its empirical application is complicated. The second approach is "macroeconomic". The real exchange rate is defined here as a competitiveness indicator. Its equilibrium level enables equilibrium to be attained whilst remaining compatible with internal equilibrium. The empirical calculation is easier and uses most robust mechanisms in macroeconometric models. These two approaches have certain points in common, notably intertemporal definition of external equilibrium. They moreover appear to be largely complementary insofar as they implicitly to different forecasting periods.
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Article en ligne http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/ecop_0249-4744_1996_num_123_2_5787