Contenu de l'article

Titre Crises financières, stratégie d'investissement dans les pays à risque, comportement des investisseurs
Auteur Patrick Artus
Mir@bel Revue Economie et prévision
Numéro no 140-141, 1999/4-5 Economie des marché financiers
Rubrique / Thématique
Économie des marchés financiers
Page 133-145
Résumé anglais Financial Crises, Investment Strategy in High-Risk Countries and Investor Behaviour by Patrick Artus We examine the dynamics of exchange-rate expectations, foreign exchange reserves and foreign investor assets in a country with a serious macroeconomic imbalance (excessive inflation) applying a fixed exchange-rate system. We use a model that generalises those used to study balance of payments crises. We compare the development of foreign investor assets over time and especially the dynamics of withdrawal from this high-risk country by both individual risk-averse investors and investment funds competing for market shares in financial savings. We consider whether investment funds withdraw from high-risk countries later and more suddenly than individual investors, which would correspond to the observed facts (e.g. the Mexican crisis).
Source : Éditeur (via Persée)
Article en ligne http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/ecop_0249-4744_1999_num_140_4_5980