Contenu de l'article

Titre Irrational Market Makers
Auteur Laurent Germain, Fabrice Rousseau, Anne Vanhems
Mir@bel Revue Finance
Numéro Volume 35, no 1, mars 2014 Varia
Page 107-145
Résumé anglais We analyze a model where irrational and rational informed traders exchange a risky asset with irrational market makers. Irrational traders misperceive the mean of prior information (optimistic/pessimistic bias) and the variance of the noise in their private signal (overconfidence/ underconfidence bias). Irrational market makers misperceive both the mean and the variance of the prior information. We show that moderately underconfident traders can outperform rational ones and that irrational market makers can fare better than rational ones. Lastly, we find that extreme level of confidence implies high trading volume.
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