Contenu du sommaire : Frontiers of population forecasting 

Frontiers of population forecasting 

• The need to rethink approaches to population forecasts - Ahlburg D.A., Lutz W. p. 1-14
• How accurate are the United Nations world population projections? - Keilman N. p. 15-41
• Demographic dimensions in forecasting: adding education to age and sex - Lutz W., Goujon A., Doblhammer-Reiter G. p. 42-58
• Household projection using conventional demographic data - Yi Z., Vaupel J.W., Zhenglian W. p. 59-87
• Knowledge can improve forecasts: a review of selected socioeconomic population projection models - Sanderson W.C. p. 88-117
• Should population projections consider "limiting factors" - and if so, how? - Cohen J.E. p. 118-138
• Expert-based probabilistic population projections - Lutz W., Sanderson W.C., Scherbov S. p. 139-155
• Probabilistic approaches to population forecasting - Lee R.D. p. 156-190
• Ways to improve population forecasting: what should be done differently in the future? - Ahlburg D.A., Lutz W., Vaupel J.W. p. 191-198