Contenu du sommaire : Élections françaises 2022 (III)

If the legislature elected in 2017 was unlike any other, what can be said of the one elected in 2022? Five years later, can we say that the previous trend have been confirmed? Or has a new movement emerged? Based on an extensive and comprehensive study of the educational, professional, and political background of the 577 Members of Parliament elected in June 2022, this article offers an in-depth portrait of the 16th legislature of the French Fifth Republic. In reality, the 2022 Assembly marked a tendential return to classic forms of political recruitment. It also marked the end of the “new world” that was heralded just five short years ago.

This article uses a specific method to study voting choices: a representative exit poll carried out during the 2022 French presidential election in Roubaix, a working-class and yet socially heterogeneous area. The poll covered 35 of the 45 polling stations in the city, resulting in the collection of 4,266 questionnaires. We first demonstrate that it is possible to mitigate the biases usually associated with exit polls. We then offer a detailed study of the determinants of voting choices in working-class areas. Last, we show that the localized nature of this study makes it possible to document the existence of neighborhood effects in ways that go beyond data aggregated at the polling station level.

Starting from Éric Zemmour's claim to “unite the right”, this article uses his candidacy to analyze the evolution of the Right, the Far Right, and the relationships between the two in France. What can we learn from Éric Zemmour's new political foothold and his electorate? What does this tell us about the state of the French Right and Far Right, and about the relationship between these two groups? More importantly, what does the Zemmour's candidacy “do” to the two political constituencies? This article highlights the mixed nature of this electoral offer, as well as the mixed nature of the demands to which it was a response. It demonstrates that, while Zemmour's effect was limited in the context of this election, his candidacy signaled the many divisions that run through the Right and the Far Right in France.

French people today prefer using the internet to get their news. This new landscape has given rise to a certain number of concerns (regarding the risk of disinformation, the polarization of public debate, etc.). This research note will attempt to deconstruct several of these presuppositions by revisiting the social logic that drives the consumption of news via websites and applications, drawing on the data collected by the “Global Internet Audience” panel hosted by Médiamétrie. This panel was composed of 25,000 individuals who are representative of the French population using the internet. Although online news consumption initially seems eclectic in nature and less concerned with the legitimacy of the sources consulted, it is nonetheless structured by a social logic that this note hopes to elucidate.