| Titre | Les conséquences économiques de l'unification allemande : quelques scénarios exploratoires | |
|---|---|---|
| Auteur | Sabine Schimel, Jean-Philippe Cotis | |
 |
Revue | Economie et prévision |
| Numéro | no 95, 1990/5 | |
| Page | 1-19 | |
| Résumé anglais |
The Economic Consequences of German Reunification: A few exploratory scenarios,
by Jean-Philippe Cotis, Sabine Schimel.
Some of the consequences of German reunification will be favourable for France and her European partners and others will be less so. This study proffers a number of possible scenarios, giving a precise description of the parameters characterizing each of them. Analyzing the most plausible developments suggests not only a moderate rise in France's growth rate entailing no excessive inflationist pressure, but also a sustainable rebalance of the functioning of the EMS, in a broader sense. These conclusions have been drawn on the basis of simulations founded in a theoretical framework and using macro-economic models. To determine how the German economy is likely to develop, we have placed particular emphasis on the role of pressure on supply which could affect price formation or alter the breakdown domestic and foreign manufacturers' market shares on the domestic market. Source : Éditeur (via Persée) |
|
| Article en ligne | http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/ecop_0249-4744_1990_num_96_5_5193 |
