| Titre | Ralentissement de l'activité mondiale et crise du Golfe : quels ajustements pour l'économie française ? | |
|---|---|---|
| Auteur | Marc Vielle, Patrick Fève, Anne Epaulard, Mireille Assouline | |
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Revue | Economie et prévision |
| Numéro | no 95, 1990/5 | |
| Page | 33-44 | |
| Résumé anglais |
The Slump in World Activity and the Oil Crisis : Adjustments the French Economy Must Make,
by Mireille Assouline, Anne Epaulard, Patrick Fève and Marc Vielle.
The marked slowdown in the growth of Western economies stemming from the recent Gulf Crisis and the uncertainty over oil prices leads us to believe there will be a new recessionary phase in world economy. The analysis made using the Hermès-France model aims not only to quantify the impact of these external factors on the French economy, but also to assess the consequences possible changes in the behaviour of the economic agents could have under such circumstances, the immediate result being that higher costs would raise prices and that firms would expect a slowdown in activity and modify their salary scales accordingly. Various adjustment policies, (including lower social contributions for employers and budgetary cutbacks) are also to be expected in the event we are faced with a large-scale external crisis. Source : Éditeur (via Persée) |
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| Article en ligne | http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/ecop_0249-4744_1990_num_96_5_5195 |
