| Titre | Fonctions d'importations et d'exportations : l'apport de la théorie économétrique récente | |
|---|---|---|
| Auteur | Philippe Gudin de Vallerin, Stéphane Capet | |
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Revue | Economie et prévision |
| Numéro | no 107, 1993/1 Études internationales | |
| Rubrique / Thématique | Etudes internationales |
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| Page | 15-36 | |
| Résumé anglais |
Import and Export Functions: The Contribution of Recent Econometric Theory,
by Stéphane Capet and Philippe Gudin de Vallerin.
This article suggests manufactured-product import and export volume equations using the most recent econometric developments in non-stationary variables. When considering a VAR (auto-regressive vectorial) representation, the method draws on deductions suggested by economic theory and the causal links shown. Tightening effects on the supply have been introduced. The equations obtained provide better forecasting potential than those obtained using the Metric model, but gains in precision are offset by less steady variant properties. Source : Éditeur (via Persée) |
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| Article en ligne | http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/ecop_0249-4744_1993_num_107_1_5595 |
