| Titre | NOUVELLES LECTURES SUR LES AVENIRS FLOUS DE LA LONGUE CRISE | |
|---|---|---|
| Auteur | Jacques Marseille | |
 |
Revue |
20 & 21. Revue d'histoire Titre à cette date : Vingtième siècle, revue d'histoire |
| Numéro | no 69, janvier-mars 2001 D'un siècle à l'autre | |
| Rubrique / Thématique | D'UN SIÈCLE À L'AUTRE |
|
| Page | 31-42 | |
| Résumé | New Readings on the Blurry Future of the Long Crisis. Historians are not prophets, but the closely watched economic signs make it possible to predict trends. From the economic point of view, the crisis made three scenarios credible : wild capitalism, the New Deal, and self-management socia lism. It is interesting to think about the way these choices are perceived. Socialism in the 1980s was credited with a high resistance factor by American experts themselves ; the savageness of capitalism, painted yesterday with horror by Dickens and today by Viviane Forrester, reserves a few surprises, since a lessening of inequalities and a rising standard of living bas been seen ; the New Deal, preceded prior to 1914 by Bismarck's and Lloyd George's social reforms weren't taken into France easily, as the democracy of the small land owners didn't adapt to what was felt to be the interference of the state. This hindsight renders one prudent in the formulation of prognostics. A totally new New Deal can however be imagined, characterized by a regression of the State, from now on focussed on a few missions, and a new division of working life. That, at least, is the most plausible hypotheses. | |
| Résumé anglais | New Readings on the Blurry Future of the Long Crisis. Historians are not prophets, but the closely watched economic signs make it possible to predict trends. From the economic point of view, the crisis made three scenarios credible : wild capitalism, the New Deal, and self-management socia lism. It is interesting to think about the way these choices are perceived. Socialism in the 1980s was credited with a high resistance factor by American experts themselves ; the savageness of capitalism, painted yesterday with horror by Dickens and today by Viviane Forrester, reserves a few surprises, since a lessening of inequalities and a rising standard of living bas been seen ; the New Deal, preceded prior to 1914 by Bismarck's and Lloyd George's social reforms weren't taken into France easily, as the democracy of the small land owners didn't adapt to what was felt to be the interference of the state. This hindsight renders one prudent in the formulation of prognostics. A totally new New Deal can however be imagined, characterized by a regression of the State, from now on focussed on a few missions, and a new division of working life. That, at least, is the most plausible hypotheses. | |
| Article en ligne | http://www.cairn.info/article.php?ID_ARTICLE=VING_069_0031 |
