Contenu du sommaire
Revue |
Finance ![]() |
---|---|
Numéro | volume 46, no 1, 2025 |
Texte intégral en ligne | Accès réservé |
- Cross-border supervisory cooperation: a progress report and research agenda - Thorsten Beck p. 7-36 Dans un monde de marchés financiers intégrés et de banques transfrontalières, les superviseurs nationaux sont confrontés à des informations limitées et à des incitations biaisées, ce qui peut exacerber la fragilité financière. Même si les autorités de contrôle ont commencé à coopérer au-delà des frontières, cette coopération reste largement en deçà d'une surveillance supranationale comme dans la zone euro. Cet article résume les recherches théoriques et empiriques récentes dans ce domaine ; il présente des données sur la coopération en matière de surveillance transfrontalière, montre l'impact (limité) sur la stabilité d'une telle coopération et les réactions des groupes bancaires mondiaux à une coopération accrue en matière de surveillance.National supervisors in a world of integrated financial markets and cross-border banks face limited information and biased incentives, which can exacerbate financial fragility. While supervisory authorities have started cooperating across borders, such cooperation falls mostly short of supranational supervision as in the Euro area. This paper summarises recent theoretical and empirical research in this area; it presents data on cross-border supervisory cooperation, shows the (limited) stability impact of such cooperation and reactions of global banking groups to increased supervisory cooperation.
- The Market Timing of Mergers and Acquisitions – Evidence from Ramadan - Muhammad Farooq Ahmad, Helen Bollaert p. 37-80 Nous étudions les stratégies de timing de marché par les dirigeants d'entreprise. Pendant le Ramadan, la surévaluation perçue des entreprises peut inciter les dirigeants à choisir cette période pour réaliser des acquisitions. Nous constatons que, conformément à l'hypothèse de timing de marché, l'activité cumulée des fusions et acquisitions est plus élevée en moyenne pendant le Ramadan, les dirigeants sont moins susceptibles d'écouter le marché et la performance post-acquisition est plus faible. Des analyses supplémentaires montrent des résultats différents pour les trois principaux pays de fusions et acquisitions de notre échantillon. Les résultats pour la Malaisie témoignent d'une stratégie de timing de marché désavantageuse pendant le Ramadan : pour les transactions annoncées pendant cette période, les dirigeants sont moins susceptibles d'écouter le marché, la probabilité de paiement en actions est plus élevée ainsi que la probabilité d'achèvement de l'opération, et la performance opérationnelle post-fusion est moins bonne. En revanche, il n'y a pas de preuve de timing de marché en Turquie et en Arabie saoudite. Nous sommes amenés à interpréter les résultats pour ces deux derniers pays comme étant cohérents avec le sentiment religieux conduisant à des transactions de meilleure qualité pendant le Ramadan.We investigate market timing behaviors by corporate managers. During Ramadan, the perceived overvaluation of firms may induce managers to time acquisitions. We find that, consistent with the market timing hypothesis, on average during Ramadan, aggregate mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity is higher, managers are less likely to listen to the market and post-acquisition performance is lower. Further analyses show differing results for the top three M&A countries in our sample. Results for Malaysia show strong evidence for detrimental market timing during Ramadan: for deals announced during the period, managers are less likely to listen to the market, the probability of stock acquisitions is higher as is the probability of deal completion, and post-merger operating performance is worse. Conversely, there is no evidence for market timing in Turkey and Saudi Arabia. We tentatively interpret results for the latter two countries as consistent with religious sentiment leading to higher quality deals during Ramadan. JEL Classification: G34, G41
- Are ESG Ratings Informative To Forecast Idiosyncratic Risk? - Christophe Boucher, Wassim Le Lann, Stéphane Matton, Sessi Tokpavi p. 81-129 This paper develops a backtesting procedure that evaluates how well ESG ratings help in predicting a company's idiosyncratic risk. Technically, the inference is based on extending the conditional predictive ability test of Giacomini and White (2006) to a panel data setting. We apply our methodology to the forecasting of stock returns idiosyncratic volatility and compare two ESG rating systems from Sustainalytics and Asset4 across three investment universes (Europe, North America, and the Asia-Pacific region). The results show that the null hypothesis of no informational content in ESG ratings is strongly rejected for firms located in Europe, whereas results appear mixed in the other regions. In most configurations, we find a negative relationship between ESG ratings and idiosyncratic risk, with higher ratings predicting lower levels of idiosyncratic volatility. Furthermore, the predictive accuracy gains are generally higher when assessing the environmental dimension of the ratings. Importantly, applying the test only to firms over which there is a high degree of consensus between the ESG rating agencies leads to higher predictive accuracy gains for all three universes. Beyond providing insights into the accuracy of each of the ESG rating systems, this last result suggests that information gathered from several ESG rating providers should be cross-checked before ESG is integrated into investment processes. JEL Codes: G10, G17, C12, C33
- Private Information And Trading Speed - Hervé Boco, Laurent Germain, Fabrice Rousseau p. 130-192 The following paper analyzes the strategic competition between privately informed fast and slow traders where a Fast Trader (FT) benefits from lower latency compared to a slower trader (ST). As a consequence, a Fast Trader (FT) can trade more, on a given piece of information, than a slow trader (ST). In accordance with the overwhelming findings in the empirical literature, we find that the speed advantage of FTs has a beneficial effect on market liquidity as well as price efficiency. We obtain that FTs earn higher expected profits than their slower counterparts and that slower traders are worse off when FTs are present. We find that price volatility is non-monotonic with the number of fast traders and their relative speed. This means that price volatility can be increased due to the presence of fast traders. Finally, our model estimates that the participation rate of the fast traders to the volume is large and increases with their speed advantage.